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Inter Milan vs Lecce - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 16

Serie A - Gameweek 16

Wednesday, 14 Jan 2026 • 20:45

Inter Milan

1 : 0

Lecce

Goals

Francesco Espo...
1 : 0
78'
78'Francesco Esposito
1 : 0

Game Review

Inter Milan secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Lecce in their Serie A clash on Wednesday, 14 January 2026. The match was tightly contested, with Inter eventually breaking the deadlock late in the second half. This result was largely expected given Inter's superior squad depth and form coming into the game. The decisive moment came in the 78th minute when substitute Francesco Esposito found the back of the net, ensuring all three points for the home side. Inter's dominance in possession and their ability to create chances were evident throughout the match, although they struggled to convert these opportunities into goals until Esposito's intervention. Key players for Inter included Marcus Thuram (GAP +5.6%), who was instrumental in their attacking play, and Yann Sommer (GAP +5.7%), whose solid performance in goal ensured a clean sheet. On the other hand, Lecce's Wladimiro Falcone (GAP -1.3%) had a challenging evening, facing numerous shots from the Inter attack. In terms of lineup changes, Inter Milan made several substitutions during the match, bringing in Davide Frattesi, Lautaro Martínez, Petar Sučić, Luis Henrique, and the eventual match-winner Francesco Esposito. Lecce also made changes, introducing Tete Morente, Álex Sala, Konan N’Dri, and Mohamed Kaba as they sought to find a way back into the game. This victory keeps Inter Milan in a strong position in the Serie A standings, maintaining their momentum as they aim for a top finish. Lecce, meanwhile, will need to regroup and focus on their upcoming fixtures to climb the table and avoid being drawn into a relegation battle.

Lineups

Inter Milan

PosPlayer
GK
Yann Sommer
DEF
Manuel Akanji
DEF
Francesco Acerbi
DEF
Alessandro Bastoni
MID
Nicolo Barella
MID
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
MID
Piotr Zieliński
MID
Carlos Neves
MID
Andy Diouf
FWD
Marcus Thuram
FWD
Ange-Yoan Bonny

Substitutes

57'Francesco Esposito
for Ange-Yoan Bonny
57'Davide Frattesifor Nicolo Barella
57'Luis Henrique
for Andy Diouf
72'Lautaro Martínezfor Henrikh Mkhitaryan
87'Petar Sučićfor Marcus Thuram

Lecce

PosPlayer
GK
Wladimiro Falcone
DEF
Antonino Gallo
DEF
Danilo Veiga
DEF
Omri Gandelman
DEF
Jamil Siebert
DEF
Tiago Gabriel
MID
Lassana Coulibaly
MID
Youssef Maleh
FWD
Riccardo Sottil
FWD
Santiago Pierotti
FWD
Nikola Štulić

Substitutes

69'Mohamed Kabafor Omri Gandelman
69'Tete Morentefor Riccardo Sottil
82'Konan N’Drifor Santiago Pierotti
86'Álex Salafor Youssef Maleh
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Inter Milan2015144317+2646
W
W
W
D
W
17Lecce2045111328-1517
L
D
L
L
L

Last Games

Inter Milan

vsNapoli
2 - 2
@Parma
2 - 0
vsBologna
3 - 1
@Atalanta
1 - 0
@Genoa
2 - 1

Lecce

vsParma
1 - 2
vsRoma
0 - 2
@Juventus
1 - 1
vsComo
0 - 3
vsPisa
1 - 0

Head-to-Head

21 Feb 2026
Lecce0 - 2Inter Milan
21 Feb 2026Lecce
0 - 2
Inter Milan
14 Jan 2026
Inter Milan1 - 0Lecce
14 Jan 2026Inter Milan
1 - 0
Lecce
26 Jan 2025
Lecce0 - 4Inter Milan
26 Jan 2025Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan
24 Aug 2024
Inter Milan2 - 0Lecce
24 Aug 2024Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce
25 Feb 2024
Lecce0 - 4Inter Milan
25 Feb 2024Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan

Serie A

Gameweek 16

20 Dec • 18:00
Lazio
Cremonese
0 - 0
20 Dec • 20:45
Juventus
Roma
2 - 1
21 Dec • 12:30
Cagliari
Pisa
2 - 2
21 Dec • 15:00
Sassuolo
Torino
0 - 1
21 Dec • 18:00
Fiorentina
Udinese
5 - 1
21 Dec • 20:45
Genoa
Atalanta
0 - 1
14 Jan • 18:30
Napoli
Parma
0 - 0
14 Jan • 20:45
Inter Milan
Lecce
1 - 0
15 Jan • 18:30
Hellas Verona
Bologna
2 - 3
15 Jan • 20:45
Como
AC Milan
1 - 3

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.